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Anjum Siddiqui

Dr. Siddiqui has an extensive background in academia and industry. He was previously tenured at the University of Auckland, where he was also engaged in contractual research for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Most recently, he served as the Chief Economist and Head of Strategic Planning at the National Bank of Pakistan where he was lead person on the $300 million "Banking Sector Reform Program" financed by the World Bank.

 

 

 

On his return to Canada, and prior to joining UOIT, Dr. Siddiqui taught at the University of Toronto, the School of Business & Economics at Wilfrid Laurier University and in the International MBA Program at the Shulich School of Business, York University. Dr. Siddiqui's fields are macro and monetary economics, international trade and development economics. He has also taught finance at the undergraduate and graduate levels.

The following articles employ economic and statistical analysis utilizing data and some contain econometric evidence of various economic hypotheses.

• “Federal Budget- 2001-02 & State of the Economy”, Economic Bulletin, Vol. 28, No 6, June 2001.

• “Reforming Pakistan’s Capital Markets”, Economic Bulletin, Vol. 28, No. 8, August 2001.

• “Hubco Shareholders’ Returns: A Promise That Did Not Hold Out”, Pakistan & Gulf Economist, Vol 29, No 38, Sept 18, 2000.

• “Hubco Tariff is Competitive With its Peers”, Pakistan & Gulf Economist, Issue 4, 2000

• “Did Wapda Sign Expensive IPP Contracts?, Pakistan & Gulf Economist, Vol 28, No 38, September 20, 1999.

• “Independent Power Projects: The Real Issues”, Pakistan Development Review, Vol. 37, No. 4, Winter 1998.

• “The Controllability of Monetary Aggregates in Pakistan” (co-author Ahmad Waheed), Pakistan Development Review, Vol. 34, No. 4, p. 659-669, Winter 1995.

• “Debt and Deficit Dynamics in New Zealand: Did Financial Liberalization Matter?”, (co-author Paul D. McNelis), International Economic Journal, Vol 8, No 3, p. 71-88, Autumn 1994.

• “The Liquidity Effect of Money on Short Term Interest Rates”, New Zealand Economics Papers, 26 (2), p. 177-97, 1992.

• “Money and Inflation in Pakistan: Some Tests”, Indian Economic Journal, December 1990.

• “The Causality Between Money and Inflation in a Developing Economy”, International Economic Journal, Summer 1989.

• “The Persistence Effects of Monetary Shocks via Inventory Adjustment: The Canadian Evidence”. Ph.D. Thesis, Simon Fraser University, Canada, May 1988.

• “ Leadership Failures Change Management and Institutional Corruption” in “Collaborative Leadership” ed. B. Schell, ISBN 0-39040015-7, McGraw Hill, 2003.

All of these papers are academic in nature and versions of some of these have been published in scholarly journals- the more recent ones (2004) are being revised and edited for submission to journals.

• “The Determinants of Saving and Its Relationship with Economic Growth in South Asia: Working Paper, Faculty of Business & Information Technology, WP 02, October 2004.

• “Human Capital Growth and Development in South Asia” Working Paper, Faculty of Business & Information Technology, WP 03, October 2004.

• “Forecasting the Money Multiplier with Component and Aggregate Models” (coauthor Ahmad Waheed), Manuscript, Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, 1994a.

• “Tracking M1 via the Money Multiplier in Pakistan” (coauthor Ahmad Waheed), Manuscript, Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, 1994b.

• “A Test of Debt Sustainability and Intertemporal Budget Balance” (co-author Paul D. McNelis), Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Auckland, No. 98, November 1993.

• ”The Liquidity effect of Money on Short Term Interest Rates: The New Zealand Experience”, Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Auckland, No. 74, September 1990.

• “Interest Rates and the Vanishing Liquidity Effect of Money in Canada”, Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Auckland, No 58, July 1989

• “The Causal Relation Between Money and Inflation in a Developing Economy”, Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Auckland, No. 54, April 1989.

• “The Persistence Effects of Monetary Shocks Via Inventory Adjustment: The Canadian Evidence”, Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Auckland, No. 53, January 1989.  

• These applied articles draw on economic theory and management principles, and utilize data to analyze business, economic and governance issues, and evaluate government policies.

• “ Banking Sector Reforms: A 300 Million Dollar Scheme to Fool the World Bank”, South Asia Tribune, June 2003.

• “ Institutional Corruption in Pakistani Banks”, South Asia Tribune, June 2003.

• “High Hopes Not Supported By Facts”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, July 1, 2001

• “Economic Fundamentals Improving in Pakistan”, South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, March 23, 2001.

• “Why Do IPPs Produce Cheaper Electricity than WAPDA”, Financial Post, July 25, 2000

• “Investor Confidence and Economic Revival”, Khaleej Times, United Arab Emirates, March 2000.

• “Do IPPs Produce Expensive Power”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, July 19, 1999.

• “WAPDA’s Faulty Analysis”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, 6 Sept 1999.

• “Taking Its Toll: Recession and the Advertizing Industry”, Aurora Business Magazine, September, 1998.

• “The Falling Rupee”, Zameen, June 1998

• “The Great Cover Up”, Zameen, August 1998.

• “Unrealistic Expectations in Federal Budget, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, July 13, 1998

• “Unstable Debt, Spectre of Default”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, Aug 24, 1998

• The Debt Trap: Where is the Way Out”, The News, March 2, 1997.

• “State Bank Autonomy and Inflation”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, Apr 27, 1996.

• “Why Economists Advice Goes Unheeded”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, June 1, 1996.

• “Impediments to Foreign Direct Investment”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, June 1, 1997.

• “Macroeconomic Policies and Economic Growth”, The News, April 26, 1996.

• “The ‘High Loan Rate’, ‘Low Deposit Rate’ Syndrome”, Dawn-Economic & Business Review, April 20, 1996.

• My paper “Debt and Deficit Dynamics in New Zealand: Did Financial Liberalization Matter?” was cited by J.A. Hatemi and G. Shukur in “Multivariate Based Causality Tests of Twin Deficits in the US”, in JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, VOL. 29, NO.6, 2002.

• My paper “The Causality Between Money and Inflation in a Developing Economy” was cited by Metin K in “The relationship between inflation and the budget deficit in Turkey”  in JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS 16 (4): 412-422 OCT 1998.

• Hondroyiannis G, Papapetrou E in “Are budget deficits inflationary? A cointegration approach” in APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS 4 (8): 493-496 AUG 1997.

• My detailed and comprehensive views on the “Hubco-Wapda Dispute” cited by M. Raza in “ Towards a Negotiated Settlement With IPPs”, in ECONOMIC REVIEW”- PAKISTAN’S JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, Vol. XXX No. 5, May 1999.

• My paper “Forecasting the Money Multiplier with Component and Aggregate Models” (coauthor Ahmad Waheed), Manuscript, Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, 1994a, cited by Siddiqui A and Waheed A in “ Controllability of Monetary Aggregates in Pakistan”, in THE PAKISTAN DEVELOPMENT REVIEW, 34:4, Part II, Winter 1995.

• My paper “Tracking M1 via the Money Multiplier in Pakistan” (coauthor Ahmad Waheed), Manuscript, Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, 1994b, cited by Siddiqui A and Waheed A in “ Controllability of Monetary Aggregates in Pakistan”, in THE PAKISTAN DEVELOPMENT REVIEW, 34:4, Part II, Winter 1995.

• My paper “The Liquidity Effect of Money on Short Term Interest Rates: The New Zealand Experience,” New Zealand Economic Papers, December 1992 cited by Siddiqui A and McNelis P.D in “ Debt and Deficit Dynamics in New Zealand: Did Financial Liberalization Matter” in THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC JOURNAL, Vol. 8, No 3, Autumn 1994.

• Cited by “Meed- The Middle East Business Weekly” my views on “the steps being taken by the government to create an investor friendly economic environment”, Sept, 2000.

• Cited by “ Common Ground, Weekly Radio Program on World Affairs” - Sponsored by the Stanley Foundation, Muscatine, Iowa USA- cited my views on the “investor confidence and state of the economy” on February 1, 2000 and rebroadcast on March 28, 2000.

• Cited by “ BBC World Service” – interviewed from London on “The Prospects of Resolution of the Energy Sector Dispute and the Treatment of Foreign Investors in Pakistan”, 2000.

• Cited by “ BBC World Service”- interviewed from London on the “Economic Reforms and Foreign Direct Investment” after the change in government in 2000.

• Cited by “ Dawn” in “Hubco Offers $3 bn Benefit to Government”- The reporter quotes extensively from my paper in the Energy Conference held in Karachi on April 19, 2000.

• Cited by “ Dawn”- the Bureau Report cited my comments on the “arbitration proceedings held at the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) which met in London”, 13 November 1999.

• Cited by “ Institutional Investor”- an international investment magazine, on my views on the government’s expected handling of the energy sector dispute, p. 49, November 1999.

• Cited by “Friday Times”- an influential business and political weekly, a detailed interview on the energy sector and the Hubco-Wapda dispute, 1999.